Recently I found an equation that predicts false accusations based on the 'word popularity' of the victim.
This is derived from false reports against "space aliens" who are often accused of abducting
people (then letting them go). The Numbers say that Priests are simply victim of a common phenomenon of false reports.
A longitudinal report on UFO activity since the 40s stated there were 1,700 UFO Abduction reports. (from roughly 1936 to 1998) This was the most comprehensive report at the time. (cir 2015).
That original report is now missing from the web. However, I wrote the numbers down as part of my research. And I confirmed the time frame from the "NUFORC" database on alien "sightings". (approximately 14,600 'sightings' during that time. It matched.)
Well, I looked up the term "space alien" on google ngram viewer. (Search google ngram)
and space aliens were .000002 of American English in 2008. Not too popular. But enough to garner 1,700 accusations in the prior 50 years.
I hypothesized that this is a random phenomenon in which people simply attack stuff that bounces around in their head. (Since twinkle lights in the sky never really bother anyone.) So I looked up the term "Cosby". Its a single concept in our society, though there are a few people with that name. He is sometimes called "The Coz" but that is rare.
The popularity of "Cosby" in American English was .000000075. (average from 2000-2007)
Doing the math,
1,700 divided by .000002 times .000000075 = 63.7 (accusers)
This matched. Cosby had 60 female accusers. And I suppose, two lawyers and 1 judge.
But is it correct? Is it true? Did he simply offer his dates drinks and stuff before they had
drunk sex? Did stuff that was not criminal in 2013 (when first reported) become criminal when
a lynch mob became excited about drunk sex? A crime in Sweden, but generally just
sloppy love in most of the world.
Cosby has now been released by because
the court admitted lots of unrelated past
deed stories testimony which were essentially
not relavant to innocence or guilt. *
To test this I looked at The weinestein Case. But I could not find a term that summed up the
Film producer, Hollywood producer or individual person. Wienstien was behind the scenes. He
made movies. But Cosby was a front man. You went to see him. Wienstien was not "The Stein" or "Mr. Film". There was no term like "cosby".
What I did find was the term "Hollywood" but that could mean things other than Wienstien.
In fact it could be other people (one dimension) and other things (another dimension).
And I found that "Hollywood / (2 Pi)" would satisfy the same equation.
Alien abduction (accusations)
divided by "space alien" times
1,700 divided by .000002 * .0000001 = 87.9 (predicted)
This also matched the 87 accusers. (plus .9 judges, I suppose)
Note: these numbers were changed on google ngram viewer and
this is not the first time that has happened. But the term
"Hollywood" cir 1995 divided by 2 Pi gave the number listed.
Now I guess you need to use the term 'Hollywood' unaltered.
Here i used the long standing popularity of the word Hollywood, before 1995. (because the
internet exaggerates word popularity of show biz) But is the division by 2 PI correct? Theres no doubt that if you ask people to point at hollywood and Wienstien walked out of a building. Everyone would point at him and say. There's hollywood. Theres funders, scripts, agents, phone calls... Yea Wienstin is hollywood - not the guy on the corner selling pretzels.
hard to prove. But, again, there were no police reports, no charges.. no crimes.. until, later,
after a lot of people got talking, then grabbed their pitch forks.. (i'm not saying its ideal
to ask for sex in any situation) But they, later, grabbed their pitch forks and caused far more
damage than he ever did, wiping out a career and obviously severely injuring a human life.
Did he wipe out careers? You'd have to blame every producer i ever emailed. Maybe you can. Or maybe its the junta of "we don't look at outsider's work". But that's a different matter.
Dividing a term by 2 Pi was iffy. (however if Weinstein (the term) is equal in popularity to "Hollywood" then perhaps the frustration of a closed AND freakishly competitive AND nepotistic industry (with that EXACT popularity) is what everyone is really upset about. They say its one thing. But the numbers say it's just anger at 'HOLLYWOOD'.
So I looked at "Priests". No other profession is so often
accused.(in the news media) People don't care about "ministers" or "rabbis". They want catholic priests. (Catholics also earn half as much money as the other groups do in
the U.S. So they are clearly an oppressed group.)
I looked at the term "priest", "clergy" and "clergyman". But none seemed to fit.
Priests were way too popular. That equation would overestimate 8 million accusers out of 109,694 priests. Far too high.
I used the church's own exhaustive statistics on priests since the 1950s. It is a well known report.
Report of the Bishops from 1936 onward
I realized that 'priest' is too popular because 'priests' are not like 'space aliens'. They are not twinkling lights in the sky. They're Real. So another term is needed. Like "space" & "alien".
I tried "Priest" squared which gave somewhat more than the number of accusers.
I tried "Clergy" Squared which gave somewhat less.
And I tried "Priest" times "Clergy" which gave about 20% more..
Then I found "Catholic Priest" Both an idea and a person.
"Catholic priest" showed a popularity of .0000012 for pre internet 1995, the lowest popularity since 1950.)
Comparing "alien abduction" (accusations)
to "catholic priest" (accusations),
(based on word popularity), gave;
1,700 divided by .000002 times .0000012 = 1020 (predicted)
This matched also. Catholic priests showed 1021 police reports. An error less than 1/10th percent.
We simply don't know how many priests might be abusers. (and how many are abused)
And we can't be sure why "space aliens" are also exactly 2/3 more hostile than priests.
(1,700/1,021) = 1.665 )
Why are twinkling lights in the sky 66% more hostile than priests? Maybe its easier to accuse an 'idea' than a person. (Or, if you like the new google numbers, then why are priests getting fewer than half the expected false accusations?)
That Ngram number now shows .000002385 which predicts twice as many false accusations as priests actually get. Priests now have half as many police reports as expected. So priests are now 1/2th as 'abusive' as 'space aliens'. They are very nice people with high public exposure. However the original data did predict 1020 accusations vs the actual 1021 police reports. The new number predicts 2027 police reports.(slightly more than twice as many as occurred). It appears to have been rigged to bolster media attacks on priests and to discredit the research and author.
The Larry Nassar case has some numbers worth noting.
Here a doctor was paid to grab patients butts to adjust their back.
Early on the girls laughed among themselves how they hated having that done.
And joked about the doctor. 15 years later they made the teen joking appear real.
"Nasser" (with an 'e') has a word frequency of about .0000006 in American English (2008 google ngram changed to .0000003 but the median probability of that term is still about .000006). (It is more popular than Nassar with an 'a', but is spoken the same way.) This predicts 510 (alien abduction) accusers. A recent report showed only 333 accusers. (the average word popularity since 1960 of .0000004 predicts 340 false accusers).
As a christian, it makes me wonder why god allows false charges. For instance half of death row was shown to be innocent when DNA testing became available.(statistics also became hard to find after 2008) The Nassar case is similar again in that there was no problem, in fact they paid him for the work, then suddenly in 2014 someone made a complaint and a large mob formed with 333 people suing Michigan State University for a HALF BILLION DOLLARS.
Enough to make anyone want to turn their head and cough.
The Numbers suggest all these cases are the result of vicious mobs of slanderers who appeared out of nowhere. Like the porn on Nassar's computer which seems to have appeared out of nowhere. 37,000 images of kiddy porn. At 2 hours a day, that would take a year to download at a minute per image. About the amount of time between the first accusation in 2014 and the sudden investigation for kiddy porn a year later.
Did he buy the porn on the internet? Is there a secret "free kiddy porn network"?
Or was it donated by a well meaning "family protector"?
All the numbers say innocent. All of them.
All the accusers say Give us money. All of them.
A recent case arose where famous singer R Kelly was charged. Analysis of his word popularity
shows "R" as .0035 and Kelly .000005 Multiplying these together gives R*Kelly = .0000000245
1700 divided by .000002 times .0000000245 = 20.8 Accusers.
The Numbers predict 20 accusers. I do not know how many witnesses will testify against him.
But again, It looks like popularity is causing people to report space aliens and other famous
Here we go again:
well obviously nobody is permitted to argue that Epstine is innocent. And peer pressure is a bad sign.
So lets look at the numbers.
Jeffrey Epstine was totally unknown. Jeffrey Who?, is all anyone on the street would know. But he was a billionaire playboy. That's what islands and parties are. Just play, when the work is done. (presumably by brokers and lawyers).
Billionaire Playboy as 2 words:
(Please note ngram viewer nolonger works on some browsers. googlized nonstandard htpertext. 2021)
Billionaire has a word frequency of about .000035 and playboy also has about .000048
Not surprizingly, "Billionaire times Playboy" gives;
1700 divided by .000002 times .000035 times .000048 = 1.4 Accusers.
(by all media resports) This is what Epstine had.
He had one 'alien abduction' story (using lawyer induced words). Nobody says 'I was trafficked'. That's lawyer words not victim words.
"just a story".
And this is what he had.
One alien abduction story.(for money, with lawyer induced verbal constructions)
And one copycat lawsuit.(for money, with same lawyer induced constructions)
The facts are undeniable. The math is real.
Aliens are not abducting people (and then letting them go).
Instead, famous people are simply being attacked, at the same rate as the alien "twinkle lights in the sky" (based on their word populatiry).
Interestingly the origional Epstine 'forced confession' did not include any 'sex'. It was "procurement" and "solicitation".
But think. If they couldn't charge any sex, then it wasnt really a sweet heart deal was it?
Billionaire Playboy as one word:
I have since learned that "billionaire playboy" is listed as one word also.
('Billionaire playboy (capitalized) was not on ngram viewer.)
The Numbers for 1700 "Alien abduction"s and "Billionaire playboy" circa 2004 give about 35 Accusers.
1700 divided by ".000002" times .00000004 = 34 Accusers.
This is the exact amount or people in the origional police investigation listed in the Maxwell Deposition (30 plus the 4 lawyers and judges who attacked him and his long ago ex girlfriend.
The statistics are perfect because there are so many veriables.
If 30 'confessions' bother you, Then see these two links.
How False confessions work
Studies of False Confession and beleifs
The origional police report is online but it was not loading and the audio plays slow. So I could not see or hear it. But the two links above tell a serious story. They are MUST READ links for judges and defence lawyers.
The data for "Cosby", "Hollywood/2Pi", "Nasser" and "Catholic Priests" AND Jeffrey Epstine appears to confirm The Alien Abduction effect.
False charges are a Fact. They are serious threat to the united states. There is no presumption of innocence. They lock you up right away. Then, they bribe you to confess to lesser charges. For saftey. This happened to Epstine.
I know that false accusations are a problem in America. But words seem useless, so i give you the numbers.
The math I present here is not difficult. But we know from DNA that our justice system is troubled. I hope others can help. Jesus tells us to love our enemies, forgive them and do good to them. But everywhere people are out of control. People jam my search listings, cheat my web listings and paypal transactions. They pirate my patent (and copyright). They monopolize and destroy.
They gave Larry Nassar 60 years in jail for "possessing photos". A death sentence.
If the family dog tries to hump your leg you don't sue the parents for a million dollars. You wouldn't put a dog in jail for 60 years. Even if it were true. But it's not true because there is no truth left.
Search the term "vape", do you see TheUbie.Com?
Facts about false confessions (from above):
How False confessions work
Studies of False Confession and beleifs
Also, Its a lot easier to falsly admit being a victim.
* In fact Cosby has now been released because the court admitted lots of unrelated past deeds testimony which were essentially not relavant to actuall innocence or guilt. In short. It was later determined there was too much resonable doubt.
As it was cosby had been convicted because he truthfully admitted to once trying a qualude (in the 70s). An innocuous trivia. But enough to confuse starry-eyed dreamers.
So (if you ever smoked a joint.) Then "AH HAH!" You were working with foreign drug lords!! Unfortunatly that was the clear reasoning process of what we call justice. So they put an elderly Blind Man in jail.
It is unclear weather statistics will ever be the determing factor. But ststistics can light the way to open-mindedness.